Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 7.266931 8.534108 9.925186 11.561331 13.428534 15.488373 17.927954
2025-12-28 5.369447 7.131365 9.273793 12.048951 15.524422 19.707014 25.092504
2026-01-04 4.213351 6.178383 8.769476 12.385881 17.243919 23.477971 32.004744
2026-01-11 3.358599 5.366978 8.205595 12.423741 18.427126 26.541737 38.188015
2026-01-18 2.747911 4.743847 7.744353 12.453978 19.498029 29.447483 44.313591
2026-01-25 2.211244 4.110720 7.138089 12.138926 19.967925 31.476613 49.305156
2026-02-01 1.800152 3.591219 6.607574 11.832527 20.362152 33.362913 54.166631
2026-02-08 1.444141 3.090733 6.018527 11.329558 20.355091 34.592428 58.080251
2026-02-15 1.178110 2.698505 5.545962 10.941058 20.459267 35.957173 62.247722
2026-02-22 1.052660 2.554479 5.492862 11.265648 21.769153 39.319450 69.772064
2026-03-01 0.947810 2.431275 5.457190 11.608473 23.127661 42.841907 77.768475
2026-03-08 0.788987 2.156750 5.081761 11.260429 23.207604 44.202370 82.255973
2026-03-15 0.644476 1.892886 4.707491 10.910073 23.330615 45.791415 87.513400
2026-03-22 0.587102 1.830449 4.758145 11.435946 25.190226 50.638390 98.838776
2026-03-29 0.523148 1.735322 4.719994 11.770386 26.710482 54.992765 109.608987
2026-04-05 0.450635 1.597163 4.556800 11.809053 27.636318 58.312568 118.738077
2026-04-12 0.388864 1.472010 4.400972 11.838460 28.537256 61.640563 128.088032
2026-04-19 0.321872 1.310030 4.120746 11.537176 28.700523 63.546644 134.894841
2026-04-26 0.266581 1.167251 3.861449 11.244135 28.841321 65.403266 141.708530
2026-05-03 0.214429 1.016117 3.546718 10.763162 28.503148 66.255855 146.614130
2026-05-10 0.174743 0.895167 3.291405 10.391732 28.366817 67.496371 152.342207
2026-05-17 0.158790 0.862107 3.293422 10.702056 29.860847 72.252412 165.398190
2026-05-24 0.144886 0.832776 3.301552 11.029868 31.426430 77.262606 179.251925